Rafael Jodar vs Nicolas Mejia Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In terms of recent second serve proficiency, Nicolas Mejia has won 43.94% of the points, whereas Rafael Jodar comes slightly behind with 43.89%. How much does this minor difference matter? It is usually significant in predicting match outcomes.
• When analyzing return game statistics, Mejia leads with 44.27% success on opponents' second serves, edging out Jodar, who has a 43.77% success rate. For first serve returns, Mejia is again ahead with 29.13% compared to Jodar's 26.13%.
• Under pressure, Mejia exhibits a slight edge by saving 55.11% of breakpoints, whereas Jodar has saved 53.40%. This ability often influences in-game betting predictions.
• Looking at their overall performance in the past year, Jodar has a significantly higher match-win percentage at 72.97%, compared to Mejia's 52.17%. Does this reflect his consistency and chance of victory? Quite possibly.
• On preferred surfaces, both players share their best win percentage of 57% on Clay for Mejia and Hard for Jodar, indicating a balance there, although neither player finds much success on grass for Mejia or lower on clay for Jodar.
• Comparing playing levels, both players mostly compete in Challengers/ITF > $10K events, with Jodar having a higher winning percentage of 72.97% than Mejia's 52.63%.
• They have faced each other once before, with Jodar defeating Mejia comfortably in two sets. Can Jodar replicate this past victory? Given the historical data, it's likely.
• Regarding quality of opposition, Jodar has faced slightly tougher opponents, with an average ranking of 337.46 compared to Mejia's 356.36, potentially providing him with more challenging match experience.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Jodar has a better record, winning 77% of these scenarios compared to Mejia's 56% victory rate.

Editorial Prediction (October 4, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Nicolas Mejia and Rafael Jodar is set against a backdrop of competitive statistics, with both players showing strengths in different areas. Mejia shows some advantages in serve and return percentages, especially under pressure. However, Jodar's superior overall win percentage in the past year and better past performance in their direct matchup suggests he has the upper hand.

Additionally, Jodar's experience against slightly higher-ranked opponents and his effectiveness in deciding sets further tilt the odds in his favor. Past direct encounters have favored Jodar, hinting at his ability to outperform Mejia when they face off.

Weighing these factors, Rafael Jodar emerges as the more likely winner in their upcoming encounter, given his track record and slight edge in competitive play.